(This article is the sixth in a weekly Next Avenue series, The Future of Aging: Realizing the Potential of Longevity published by the Milken Institute Center for the Future of Aging. The first article in the series was A New Model for the Future of Aging. The second article was Personalized Aging: Extending Lifespans and Healthspans. The third article was Boomers: Less Tied to Friends and Family Than Others Are. The fourth article was What It Will Take for the U.S. to Profit From the Longevity Dividend. The fifth article was Work, Retirement and Financial Security in the 21st Century.)
Two powerful forces are converging to shape the future of aging: technology and rising expectations.
In their youth and middle age, the coming generation of older adults have enjoyed the most dramatic quality-of-life improvement in history. Now, they expect that to continue in old age — new and innovative ways to live a better life.
At the same time, technology continues to advance at an extraordinary rate. Smaller, cheaper, faster, smarter and increasingly connected technologies are enabling people of all ages and capabilities to live easier, more engaged and empowered lives.
These trends — high expectations and technology — have been unfolding independently. Their convergence, however, is set to transform the very concept of aging.
New Definition of What It Means to Be Old
Technologies have been applied to the problems of old age for decades, of course. But soon, consumers will demand that they address not just physiological symptoms of age-related disorders, but all aspects of life. Many of these tools will be indistinguishable from those used by consumers of all ages — removing any unfortunate, lingering stigma from the use of assistive technologies. The effect will be a new definition of what it means to be old.
Today, the ideas we associate with aging are socially constructed, which can limit new thinking, particularly by developers of advanced technologies and innovative services. Though our societal definition of older age has developed over many decades, it’s likely to change suddenly as high expectations drive demand for new technologies and ways to live.
Soon, consumers will demand that technology address not just physiological symptoms of age-related disorders, but all aspects of life.
Sometimes, widely held social beliefs do change suddenly. When fresh ideas develop, like waves reshaping a shoreline, they remold our thinking and willingness to consider new possibilities. Previous, strongly held beliefs may linger, but they eventually become part of a changing landscape. The transformation of aging is already underway.
5 Waves of Change
Aging is undergoing five waves of definitional change, which are influenced and being influenced by new technology. Currently, most of us are somewhere between Wave 2 and Wave 3 in our understanding of age: We still think of it in terms of the limitations it imposes. As technologies, together with consumer expectations, continue to transform what’s possible in old age, however, our definitions will change accordingly. Ultimately, the fifth wave will represent an utter departure from our current, socially constructed definition of old age.
Wave 1: Aging as Disability and Assistive Technology
The power of technology to improve the experience of aging has been a recurring theme in research and practice for decades. The first wave of change defined old age as synonymous with disability. For example, federal transportation policy categorizes services for older people as part of a larger program for “Aging and Disability.” That definition, although certainly not altogether incorrect, is incomplete.
Wave 1 technologies include devices that address key disabilities, such as next-generation wheelchairs and walkers.
Wave 2: Aging as Disease and Health Technology
The second wave defines aging as a medical problem characterized by chronic conditions and related costs to public and private health insurers.
Wave 2 has spurred the development of countless technologies designed to monitor, manage and motivate health behaviors. These include “smart” scales that monitor weight, glucose sensors that track blood sugar levels and intelligent medication reminders that glow, beep and even shout — all connected to call centers that “manage” the conditions in question.
Wave 3: Aging as Care and Smart-Home Technology
Fewer children, busy children and children who live far from their families all contribute to the third wave: defining aging in terms of care. Technologies that connect us with older loved ones, ubiquitous home sensors that indicate whether Mom is awake and well and robots that stand in for absent family members are examples of Wave 3 innovations.
Wave 4: Aging as Independence and Tech-Enabled Services
The fourth wave introduces profound change in the way we think about aging. Rather than innovating one device at a time, the fourth wave connects smart appliances, phones and the larger Internet of Things with services that are typically focused on consumers of all ages.
As the sharing or on-demand economy —e.g. Uber for transportation, Honor for home care, Hello Alfred for everyday tasks — becomes the new normal, lifestyle improvements designed for younger adults may serve as a virtual provider of assisted living for older people.
Wave 5: Aging as Living and Technology Is Ageless
Ultimately, the fifth wave actualizes science fiction writer Arthur C. Clarke’s third law, where technology becomes invisible and performs like magic. Previous waves of technology are subsumed within everyday items, and future innovations serve all ages.
Consider the driverless car in its full realization: Whether you’re 10 or 100 years old, your robotic driver will transport you safely and seamlessly wherever you wish to go. In the fifth wave, age is similarly irrelevant and capability invisible.